Category: Inflation
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Alan Kohler: Possibly the NAIRU is 3.5 per cent
Australia’s unemployment price fell to three.5 per cent in June 2022 and has roughly stayed there for 12 months. Inflation has not risen, however declined. Within the June quarter of 2022, the Client Worth Index (CPI) elevated 1.8 per cent; on Wednesday we learnt that within the June quarter of this yr it rose 0.8…
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RBA might ship rates of interest reprieve as inflation falls
Rising inflation that sparked the largest cost-of-living disaster in a era is receding quicker than anticipated. This will increase the probabilities there can be one other pause of rates of interest hikes in August. Annual development within the Shopper Value Index (CPI) fell to six per cent over the June quarter – the bottom degree…
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Shopper costs to maintain sinking from lofty peak
Dwell The ache shoppers have been feeling on the checkout might be on show as official inflation figures land for the quarter. The June quarter client value index will type the centrepiece of the Reserve Financial institution’s subsequent rate of interest determination, with the board hoping for a convincingly mushy quantity so it will probably…
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Memo to RBA: To carry down inflation, we should carry down income
When Treasurer Jim Chalmers introduced the appointment of Michele Bullock as governor of the Reserve Financial institution, he lauded her “recent perspective”. That’s a stretch, on condition that Ms Bullock has labored on the RBA since 1985. And nobody expects her to vary course on rates of interest, which the RBA hiked 12 occasions since…
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Monopolies make RBA’s inflation battle more durable, Leigh says
Lacklustre competitors between huge firms might be making the Reserve Financial institution’s battle towards inflation tougher, the Competitors Minister Andrew Leigh stated. Current abroad analysis signifies monopolies had been much less aware of increased charges after they set costs as a result of their market energy limits the affect of easing demand on their backside…
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The Stats Man: The RBA is combating inflation in addition to demographics
Because it’s mentioned daily within the information, I figured this week we expect via the demographics of rising rates of interest. Keep in mind that this can be purely the demographic perspective and that this column can’t probably do justice to the subject. Let’s lead with the primary takeaway. The Reserve Financial institution of Australia…
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Lowe blows misplaced – what Australia ought to do as an alternative of crushing households
Former Reserve Financial institution governor Ian Macfarlane, whose time period (1996-2006) corresponded completely with the reign of the Howard authorities, signed an settlement with then-treasurer Peter Costello mandating the Reserve Financial institution with over-riding accountability for guaranteeing low inflation. They didn’t attempt to change the related act which doesn’t point out inflation, though it does…
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Michael Pascoe: Simply because the horse is lifeless doesn’t imply the RBA received’t flog it
The RBA board stood across the inclined horse on Tuesday morning within the Martin Place stables, stroking their chins, questioning what to do with it. The Governor gave its rump a nudge together with his brogue and, getting no response, delivered a sterner kick to the identical impact. The Deputy Governor grabbed a hoof, established…
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Price hikes, tumbling inflation, excessive probability of recession: How our forecasting panel sees 2023-24
Of the 27 main economists assembled by The Dialog to forecast the monetary yr that has simply begun, each one expects inflation to proceed to fall. The official quarterly measure of inflation peaked at 7.8 per cent within the yr to December and is now 7 per cent, and the newer month-to-month measure peaked at…
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Alan Kohler: It’s trying more and more like inflation targets could have outlived their usefulness
The inflation battle of 2022-23 has moved from crushing demand created by the extreme (with hindsight) pandemic response to suppressing wages. Central banks at the moment are elevating rates of interest to cease companies giving wage rises above inflation, and in the event that they do, to forestall them being handed on in costs. However…